On Sunday, the nation of CAR will conduct a pivotal series of four votes, including the presidency, parliament, and municipal seats.
Seven candidates are competing for the top office, including ex-premiers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. The two were cleared to stand by the high court after being initially barred. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra had a short tenure under the current president.
The opposition aims to capitalize on widespread frustration in a country where violence remains a constant threat. Over half a million people are internally displaced, with a similar number living as refugees in neighbouring countries.
"This represents an opportunity to acknowledge the remarkable recovery of the country," noted a senior UN diplomat, adding that challenges persist.
Despite the challenges, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is widely expected to secure another term. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when named prime minister, holding the post until a rebel coalition toppled the government in 2013, triggering a civil war.
After a chaotic transition period, his perceived neutrality from the warring factions fueled his second-round victory in 2016.
There are fears that logistical problems and insecurity could mar the vote, particularly in rural areas. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is offering security and logistical support that the state's crumbling infrastructure cannot manage.
Further issues include the electoral roll being published only online, a significant barrier in a nation with limited internet access. These issues have prompted an electoral boycott and could, according to observers, "exclude many of the population."
Many citizens worry that another term for Touadéra—made possible by a 2023 constitutional referendum that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would entail greater influence for outside interests.
The president has put faith in the Russian mercenary group Wagner for his protection, and even after its founder's death, has pushed back against calls to integrate its fighters into a successor entity. Meanwhile, Rwanda has taken a separate strategy, focusing on commercial ventures within CAR.
Allegations have claimed the government removed its own soldiers from a World Bank-funded facility to accommodate a foreign-run agricultural project. A critical editorial accused the leadership of being "intent on sell off the country bit by bit."
Amid a recent peace accord with rebel groups offering a glimmer of calm, the election proceeds under a shadow of doubt and external competition.
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Rita Jenkins
Rita Jenkins